Predictions
Monte Carlo championship projections and race predictions powered by circuit-specific modeling.
Championship Projections
10,000 simulations | 19 races remaining | After Round 3
| Driver | Current Pts | Projected | Range (90%) | WDC % | Top 3 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANT | 68 | 371.6 | 313–427 | 88.4% | 100.0% |
| RUS | 55 | 304.8 | 246–363 | 10.8% | 97.3% |
| LEC | 42 | 251.5 | 195–308 | 0.7% | 73.8% |
| HAM | 35 | 219.1 | 164–275 | 0.1% | 27.2% |
| NOR | 20 | 147.6 | 100–198 | 0.0% | 0.7% |
| VER | 12 | 147.2 | 99–198 | 0.0% | 0.6% |
| BEA | 16 | 72.1 | 40–110 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| LIN | 4 | 51.9 | 22–87 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| BOR | 2 | 31.3 | 8–60 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| GAS | 15 | 77.8 | 43–117 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| OCO | 1 | 30.8 | 8–60 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| ALB | 0 | 27.1 | 6–55 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| LAW | 8 | 53.8 | 24–89 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| COL | 1 | 23.3 | 4–49 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| SAI | 2 | 57.4 | 25–96 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Race Prediction
Miami Grand Prix | 10,000 simulations
P1ANT
Win37.7%
Podium70.7%
Circuit6.4/10
Form9.2/10
P2RUS
Win26.5%
Podium61.3%
Circuit7.4/10
Form7.0/10
P3PIA
Win9.3%
Podium35.0%
Circuit8.9/10
Form2.8/10
P4LEC
Win7.6%
Podium29.3%
Circuit5.4/10
Form5.6/10
P5NOR
Win6.6%
Podium27.9%
Circuit8.3/10
Form2.7/10
Show all drivers ▸
| Driver | Win % | Podium % | Top 5 % | Exp. Pos | Circuit | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANT | 37.7% | 70.7% | 83.7% | 3.9 | 6.4 | 9.2 |
| RUS | 26.5% | 61.3% | 78.0% | 4.4 | 7.4 | 7.0 |
| PIA | 9.3% | 35.0% | 55.9% | 6.5 | 8.9 | 2.8 |
| LEC | 7.6% | 29.3% | 49.5% | 7.2 | 5.4 | 5.6 |
| NOR | 6.6% | 27.9% | 48.6% | 7.2 | 8.3 | 2.7 |
| TSU | 3.3% | 16.0% | 32.2% | 9.1 | 4.2 | 5.0 |
| HAM | 2.8% | 14.8% | 30.7% | 9.3 | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| VER | 2.6% | 14.2% | 29.5% | 9.5 | 7.4 | 1.5 |
| DOO | 0.9% | 5.8% | 15.1% | 11.9 | 1.8 | 5.0 |
| ALB | 0.7% | 4.5% | 12.4% | 12.6 | 6.3 | 0.0 |
| BOT | 0.4% | 2.5% | 7.5% | 14.3 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| SAI | 0.3% | 2.4% | 7.3% | 14.0 | 4.9 | 0.3 |
| PER | 0.3% | 2.3% | 6.8% | 14.3 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| COL | 0.3% | 2.5% | 7.5% | 14.1 | 5.0 | 0.1 |
| LIN | 0.3% | 2.8% | 8.2% | 13.7 | 5.0 | 0.5 |
| HAD | 0.2% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 15.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 |
| GAS | 0.1% | 1.7% | 5.1% | 15.1 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| OCO | 0.1% | 1.4% | 4.4% | 15.5 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| LAW | 0.1% | 0.9% | 3.2% | 16.4 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| BEA | 0.1% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 16.3 | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| ALO | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 17.5 | 2.3 | 0.0 |
| BOR | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 17.2 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| HUL | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 17.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 |
| STR | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 17.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 |